Projection in Education: Conditions for the Sustainable Development of Vietnamese Education

Do Dinh-Thai,Giang Thien-Vu,Nguyen Thanh-Huan,Huynh Van-Son,Nguyen Vinh-Khuong

doi:10.12973/eu-jer.9.1.179

Abstract

<p style="text-align:justify">Projection in education is one of the important bases for the implementation of the sustainable and crucial strategies to ensure the development of national education, including Vietnam. As a country in Southeast Asia with the distinctive characteristics of culture and history, Vietnam has the certain advantages and disadvantages in the development of education. In this study, the projection of Vietnamese students of each school level in the period of 2015 – 2035, was referred in comparison with the projection of the teacher resource in all school levels as one of the conditions for the basic educational development in Vietnam. The study was conducted using an integrated projection in education’s formula, combined with a census (birth rate - for students; the number of teachers from Department of Education and Training’s reports, the pedagogy students prepare for graduation - for teachers) from 32 provinces and cities of Vietnam and analyzed on the rate of population change over the years. The results showed that the shortage of the teacher resource (especially the preschool teachers) and the erratic increase in the number of the children born in the good years according to the Eastern concept were the anxious issues when developing Vietnamese education and integrating into the global development trend.</p>

Highlights

The projection of the number of the children and students attending to school is the action strategy to ensure the conditions for the educational development which have been invested by many countries around the world, including Vietnam, in the past years
The projection results were analyzed with the whole Vietnamese population sample as follows: Table 1
Projection in education was an important basis in developing human resources in education

Summary

Introduction

The projection of the number of the children and students attending to school is the action strategy to ensure the conditions for the educational development which have been invested by many countries around the world, including Vietnam, in the past years. Over the past few years, the statistical data of the Vietnamese General Department of Statistics and some annual reports of the relevant agencies as well as departments concerned about this issue (Communist Party of Vietnam, 2017; Hanoi People’s Committee, 2018; General Department of Statistics., 2017; Prime Minister, 2017). The Ministry of Education and Training had given attention to the Vietnamese population and the number of the children attending school in the past few years

Methods

Results

Discussion

Conclusion