Abstract

AbstractIn order to analyze the progression of COVID-19 outbreak in India, we present a data-driven analysis, by the consideration of four different metrics, namely, reproduction rate, growth rate, doubling time and death-to-recovery ratio. The incidence data of the COVID-19 (during the period of 2nd March 2020 to 11th September 2021) outbreak in India was analyzed, based on the estimation of time-dependent reproduction. The analysis suggested effectiveness of the lockdown, in arresting the growth and this continued for the post-lockdown period, except for the period of the setbacks resulting for the second wave. The approach adopted here would be useful in future monitoring of pandemics, including its progression.KeywordsLockdownEffective reproduction numberEstimationCOVID-19

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