Abstract

Despite the availability of well-documented data, a comprehensive review of the discovery progress of polychaete worms (Annelida) has never been done. In the present study, we reviewed available data in the World Register of Marine Species, and found that 11,456 valid species of Recent polychaetes (1417 genera, 85 families) have been named by 835 first authors since 1758. Over this period, three discovery phases of the fauna were identified. That is, the initial phase (from 1758 to mid-nineteenth century) where nearly 500 species were described by few taxonomists, the second phase (from the 1850’s to mid-twentieth century) where almost 5000 species were largely described by some very productive taxonomists, and the third phase (from the 1950’s to modern times) in which about 6000 species were described by the most taxonomists ever. Six polychaete families with the most species were Syllidae (993 species), Polynoidae (876 species), Nereididae (687 species), Spionidae (612 species), Terebellidae (607 species) and Serpulidae (576 species). The increase in the number of first authors through time indicated greater taxonomic effort. By contrast, there was a decline in the number of polychaete species described in proportion to the number of first authors since around mid-nineteenth century. This suggested that it has been getting more difficult to find new polychaete species. According to our modelling, we predict that 5200 more species will be discovered between now and the year 2100. The total number of polychaete species of the world by the end of this century is thus anticipated to be about 16,700 species.

Highlights

  • The taxonomic work underlying species discoveries lays the foundations for all subsequent biodiversity-based research

  • To ascertain whether any increase in first authors of new species descriptions was due to an increasing proportion of authors who only described one species, we looked at their contribution to species descriptions over decades

  • 6033 species belong to the subclass Errantia, whereas 5085 and 158 species belong to the subclasses Sedentaria and Echiura, respectively

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Summary

Introduction

The taxonomic work underlying species discoveries lays the foundations for all subsequent biodiversity-based research. The number of species that will be discovered by a particular time—is by looking at species discovery rates [2]. Appeltans et al [4], using a statistical model of past rates of species description, field observations of undescribed species, and over one hundred expert’s assessments, estimated the number of marine species to be 0.5 ± 0.2 million. Their model could not be used for polychaetes alone, but their expert-opinion estimate was that some 6320 polychaete species remained to be described, and they speculated that “a total of 25,000 to

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