PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF MELD SCORE IN CHILD PUGH C CIRRHOTIC PATIENTS

Abstract

Background and aims: Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a scoring system used for prioritization of patients waiting liver transplantation. Patients with decompensated cirrhosisoftenshave serious complications. The aims of this study was to evaluate prognostic value of MELD score for complications (mortality, acute variceal bleeding, spontaneous bacteremia peritonitis, hepatoencephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome) of Child Pugh C cirrhotic patients in 6 months after hospitalizing. Methods: This prospective study included 102 consecutive Child Pugh C cirrhotic patients who were admitted in the period april 2016 to February 2017 in the Gastrointestinal Department, Hue Central Hospital and the General Internal Medicine Department, Hue University Hospital. At admission the MELD score of each patient was calculated. All patients were followed up for 6 months to assess the events: mortality, acute variceal bleeding, spontaneous bacteremia peritonitis, hepatoencephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome. Results: Mean MELD score of all patients was 19.5 ± 7.1; of male patients was 19.7 ± 7.4; of female ones was 18.43 ± 4.4; of alcoholic ones was19.5 ±7.5; of non - alcoholic ones was 19.6 ± 5.9. MELD score is available to predict mortality for 6 months after hospitalizating (with cut – off 20; AUC 0.69; sensitivity and specificity are 56.0% and 76.6%) and to predict hepatorenal syndrome (with cut – off 25; AUC 0.90; sensitivity and specificity are 83.3% and 85.4%). In this study, prognostic value of MELD score for acute variceal bleeding, spontaneous bacteremia peritonitis, hepatoencephalopathyfor 6 months after hospitalizating have not been found. Conclusions: MELD score is valuable prognostic system for mortality and hepatorenal syndrome in Child Pugh C cirrhotic patients in 6 months after hospitalizing. Key words: cirrhosis, MELD score