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Productivity and foreign direct investment in the services sector: an econometric analysis

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TL;DR

This study uses econometric modeling on panel data from 2010 to 2016 to assess FDI in the services sector in São Paulo, Brazil, finding a positive relationship between FDI and municipal productivity, with implications for policy and future research on FDI's role in emerging economies beyond manufacturing.

Abstract
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Purpose: Our study seeks to measure the impact of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in the services sector on the productivity of municipalities in the state of São Paulo. Theoretical framework: FDI in the services sector has become increasingly important for emerging economies due to the spillover effects, which can boost regional economic development. Methodology/Approach: This study uses econometric modeling to measure the impact of services FDI at the municipal level in the state of São Paulo, the most FDI-intensive region in Brazil. To do so, this study employs an unbalanced panel of data that includes all FDI-receiving municipalities in the state between 2010 and 2016. Findings: Our results point to a positive relationship between FDI in services sectors and municipal productivity. Research, practical & social implications: This study outcomes offer valuable perspectives for the formulation of public policies aimed at attracting foreign investments. They also have important implications for the service sector and could be a reference for future studies on the subject. Originality/ Value: This study addresses FDI in emerging countries, an important discussion given the impact of this type of investment on economic development and social indicators. In addition, this paper expands the FDI literature beyond the manufacturing sector. Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Foreign Direct Investment in Services; Spillovers; Productivity.

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During the 1990s, foreign direct investment in producer service sectors in Latin America was massive. Such investment may increase the quality of services, reduce their cost, and offer opportunities for knowledge spillovers to downstream users of the services. This paper examines the effects of foreign direct investment in services on manufacturing productivity growth in Chile between 1992 and 2004. The authors estimate an extended production function where plant output growth depends on input growth and a weighted measure of foreign direct investment in services. The novelty of the approach is that the authors are able to assess the intensity of usage of various types of services at the plant level and use that information in the estimation of the importance of foreign direct investment in those services. The econometric results show a positive and significant effect of foreign direct investment in services on productivity growth of Chilean manufacturing plants which is robust to a multitude of tests. The economic impact of the estimates is that forward linkages from foreign direct investment in services account for almost 5 percent of the observed increase in Chilean manufacturing productivity growth during the sample period. This evidence therefore suggests that reducing the barriers restricting foreign direct investment in services in many developing economies may help accelerate productivity growth in their manufacturing sectors.

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Effects of foreign direct investment in services on input imports of manufacturing firms: Evidence from China
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This study investigates the causal effects of foreign direct investment (FDI) in services on the input imports of manufacturing firms. We exploit a plausibly exogenous policy of FDI liberalization in services in China to construct an instrumental variable for FDI in services and address endogeneity concerns. The results demonstrate that FDI in services positively impacts both the value and sophistication of input imports for manufacturing firms. Mechanism analysis reveals that FDI in services enhances firms' input imports through reductions in production costs, relief from financial constraints, and decreased remote coordination costs. The positive effects of FDI in services are particularly pronounced for firms with lower initial productivity and higher levels of human capital.

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The Impact of Liberalizing Barriers to Foreign Direct Investment in Services: The Case of Russian Accession to the World Trade Organization
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"Jensen, Rutherford, and Tarr use a computable general equilibrium model of the Russian economy to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), which encompasses improved market access, tariff reduction, and reduction of barriers against multinational service providers. They assume that foreign direct investment in business services is necessary for multinationals to compete well with Russian business service providers, but cross-border service provision is also present. The model incorporates productivity effects in both goods and services markets endogenously through a Dixit-Stiglitz framework. As a result, the estimated gains from WTO accession are much larger than would be obtained from a typical model with perfect competition. The ad valorem equivalent of barriers to foreign direct investment have been estimated based on detailed questionnaires completed by specialized research institutes in Russia. The authors estimate that Russia will gain about 7.2 percent of the value of Russian consumption in the medium run from WTO accession and up to 24 percent in the long run. They estimate that the largest gains to Russia will derive from liberalization of barriers against multinational service providers. Piecemeal and systematic sensitivity analysis shows that their results are robust. This paper--a product of the Trade Team, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to assess the impact of liberalization of barriers against foreign direct investment in services sectors"--World Bank web site

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Chapter 6 - Putting Services and Foreign Direct Investment with Endogenous Productivity Effects in Computable General Equilibrium Models
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Putting Services and Foreign Direct Investment with Endogenous Productivity Effects in Computable General Equilibrium Models
  • Mar 1, 2012
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No AccessPolicy Research Working Papers22 Jun 2013Putting Services and Foreign Direct Investment with Endogenous Productivity Effects in Computable General Equilibrium ModelsAuthors/Editors: David G. TarrDavid G. Tarrhttps://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-6012SectionsAboutPDF (1.8 MB) ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack Citations ShareFacebookTwitterLinked In Abstract:With the growing importance of services and foreign direct investment in services, it is important to have a framework to analyze the impact of the liberalization of barriers to foreign direct investment in services. This paper summarizes several recent papers and builds policy-based computable general equilibrium models showing the dynamics of services, foreign direct investment and the endogenous productivity effect from services. The modeling framework shows that the liberalization of barriers against foreign direct investment in services yields welfare gains several times larger than the usual estimates from traditional computable general equilibrium models, which focus on goods trade, not foreign direct investment in services. The larger estimates are consistent with econometric evidence on the gains from services liberalization. The paper begins with a small stylized model to help understand the fundamental economics. Then it describes models developed at the request of the Russian government to assess the potential impact of Russia's accession to the WTO. Reviews of the work indicated that the modeling helped the Russian government gain public support for the WTO entry. The paper also describes a new technique that allows modelers to include tens of thousands of households in the model. Previous bookNext book FiguresreferencesRecommendeddetailsCited byEconomic Modelling, Vol.67Environment and Development Economics, Vol.22, No.6Intermediate Input Linkage and Carbon LeakageSSRN Electronic JournalCGE Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment and Tariff Reform on Female and Male Wages13 November 2014Re-examining policies for food security in AsiaFood Security, Vol.5, No.229 December 2012Ftaa (A Study on Methodologies Measuring Economic Impacts of FTAs)SSRN Electronic Journal View Published: March 2012 Copyright & Permissions Related RegionsEurope and Central AsiaRelated TopicsInternational Economics & Trade KeywordsSERVICES LIBERALIZATIONFOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTENDOGENOUS PRODUCTIVITY EFFECTSWTO ACCESSIONTRADE AND POVERTYTRADE POLICY MODELING PDF DownloadLoading ...

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  • Jan 15, 2010
  • Review of International Economics
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In this paper, the authors develop a 10-region comparative static computable general-equilibrium model of Russia to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization on the regions of Russia. The model allows for foreign direct investment in business services and endogenous productivity effects from additional varieties of business services and goods produced under imperfect competition. The authors then show that these features are crucial to the results, as the welfare gains are about 20 times greater than in a constant-returns-to-scale model. The results for the estimated gains vary considerably across the regions; this is principally explained by the ability of the different regions to benefit from a reduction in barriers against foreign direct investment.

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Regional Impacts of Liberalization of Barriers against Foreign Direct Investment in Services: The Case of Russia's Accession to the WTO
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Positive analysis on the impact of foreign direct investment in services in China
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The Impact of Liberalizing Barriers to Foreign Direct Investment in Services: The Case of Russian Accession to the World Trade Organization
  • Jan 25, 2007
  • Review of Development Economics
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In this paper a computable general equilibrium model of the Russian economy is used to assess the impact of accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), which encompasses improved market access, Russian tariff reduction, and reduction of barriers against multinational service providers. It is assumed that foreign direct investment in business services is necessary for multinationals to compete well with Russian business services providers, but cross‐border service provision is also present. The model incorporates productivity effects in both goods and services markets endogenously, through a Dixit–Stiglitz framework. It is estimated that Russia will gain about 7.2% of the value of Russian consumption in the medium term from WTO accession and up to 24% in the long run. It is also estimated that the largest gains to Russia will derive from liberalization of barriers against multinational service providers. Piecemeal and systematic sensitivity analysis shows that the results are robust.

  • Book Chapter
  • Cite Count Icon 7
  • 10.1142/9789814551434_0006
The Impact of Liberalizing Barriers to Foreign Direct Investment in Services: The Case of Russian Accession to the World Trade Organization
  • Apr 21, 2014
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  • PDF Download Icon
  • Research Article
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  • 10.22158/asir.v2n4p129
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<p><em>Whether Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is beneficial to host country growth or not, it is a question debated since a long time (Acaravci & Ozturk, 2012). This paper will examine the flow of FDI and their impact on economic growth in the Republic of Kosovo. This correlation between FDI and economic growth will be studied through regression (Quantile Regression Median). The results of the study will be obtained using multiple regression to evaluate the effect of FDI on the economy, using secondary annual data from 2007 to 2017. In addition to the basic model to be used to assess the impact of FDI on total growth amount, we have also decomposed them into the second model: FDI in manufacturing and FDI in services as well as other FDI. The research results show that the impact of total FDI and FDI in manufacturing is negative and insignificant while the impact of FDI in services and other FDI is positive but insignificant to economic growth in Kosovo. Due to the importance of FDI, as an important source of capital in a transition country such as Kosovo, these results are informational for decision-makers to improve policies in order for the country to become more attractive in attracting FDI. </em></p>

  • Research Article
  • Cite Count Icon 98
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