Abstract
At present stage, i.e. in the third millennium humanity is at transitional stage of civilization’s development. The transition is extremely uneven all over the world, and especially in mountainous regions. It aggravates already existing contradictions and complicates the problem of transition to sustainable development of nature and society. From the strategic point of view, at present Tajikistan faces the problem of gradual transition to sustainable economic development. This problem is bound up not only with growing globalization of all spheres of the public life, but with those restrictions, which have arisen in the Soviet period, in the period of rapid development of large-scale industry and public sector in agriculture. In accordance with standard nutrition norms, for the sustenance of 6.25 million people, it is necessary to produce 5.62 million tons of grain. But in 2002, only 700.1 thousand tons of grain was produced in Tajikistan, i.e. 2.5 times less than the necessary volume of production (we mean both food and fodder grain). Imported grain and the grain (including flour) received as the humanitarian aid, make about 600 thousand tons. The volumes of own production and received grain make up no more than 1.3 million tons, i.e. 1.6 times less than normative requirements. For production of normative volumes of grain at productivity of 30 centners from 1 hectare, 1,873 thousand hectares of irrigated arable land are required. However, the areas under crops make no more than 810 thousand hectares. In our country there are hardly any virgin tracts of land left for economic circulation. The dry-farming lands, which can
Published Version
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