Primary Colors: A Mixed Blessing for Al Gore

Abstract

by Helmut Norpoth, SUNY, Stony Brook Having nailed down his party's presidential nomination with an early and decisive victory in the primaries, Al Gore will go on to defeat George W Bush in the general election by a comfortable margin. The Democratic ticket, so the prediction, will take 55% of the major-party popular vote in November, compared to 45% for the Republican one-almost exactly the reverse of what national polls have been showing as late as June of the election year.