Predictive factors of the absence of residual disease at repeated transurethral resection of the bladder. Is there a possibility to avoid it in well-selected patients?

Abstract

PurposeTo evaluate the predictive factors of pT0 at repeated transurethral resection of the bladder (re-TURB) in pT1 high-grade (HG) nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer in order to explore the possibility to avoid it in well-selected patients. MethodsThis multicenter retrospective study included patients with pT1HG nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer from 4 different centers who underwent a complete TURB. Re-TURB was defined as a second resection which involved the site of the first TURB performed within 2-6 weeks from the previous resection. A multivariable logistic-regression model was performed to evaluate the predictors of pT0 at re-TURB. A nomogram was built to calculate the probability of obtaining a negative histology at re-TURB. The performance of the nomogram and its net benefit were tested with the decision curve analysis. ResultsOverall, 321 patients were included in the study. On multivariable logistic regression, detrusor muscle in the specimen (HR 1.99, P = 0.02), concomitant carcinoma in situ (HR 0.29, P = 0.005) and resection performed with en-bloc technique (HR 7.71, P = 0.01) were independent predictors of pT0 at re-TURB. Decision curve analysis showed a net benefit for the nomogram for each probability over 0.35 compared to the strategy to perform a re-TURB in all pT1HG tumors. ConclusionsThe presence of detrusor muscle in TURB specimen, the absence of concomitant carcinoma in situ and the en-bloc resection were able to predict a negative histology at re-TURB, opening the door to the possibility to avoid it in an extremely well-selected cohort of patients. External validations and prospective studies are urgently needed.