Prediction of the deformation modulus of rock masses using Artificial Neural Networks and Regression methods

Abstract

Static deformation modulus is recognized as one of the most important parameters governing the behavior of rock masses. Predictive models for the mechanical properties of rock masses have been used in rock engineering because direct measurement of the properties is difficult due to time and cost constraints. Using empirical methods, the deformation modulus is estimated indirectly from classification systems. This paper presents the results of the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) technique and Regression models to estimate the deformation modulus of rock masses. A database, including 224 actual measured deformation modulus, Uniaxial Compressive Strengths of the rock (UCS), and Rock Mass Rating (RMR) was established. Data were collected from different projects. To predict Em by regression, a nonlinear regression method was used. This model showed the coefficient correlation of 0.751 and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 9.911%. Also a three-layer ANN was found to be optimum, with an architecture of two neurons in the input layer, four neurons in the hidden layer and one neuron in the output layer. The correlation coefficient determined for deformation modulus predicted by the ANN was 0.786 and the quantity of MAPE was 6.324%. With respect to the results obtained from the two models, the ANN technique was shown to be better than the regression model because of its higher accuracy.