Abstract

In this study, predictive models that characterize gold potential zones within the Josephine Prospecting Licence (PL) Area of Northwestern Ghana have been created by data-driven methods comprising frequency ratio and information value. These predictive models were evaluated using known locations of gold (Au) occurrence datasets and compared to each other. The mineral prospectivity models (MPMs) of gold occurrence areas within the Josephine PL Area were constructed by determining the spatial correlation between known locations of Au occurrences and eight mineralization related factors. The locations of these known Au occurrences, which characterize regions of anomalously high Au geochemical concentration and regions of previous or ongoing artisanal mining operations were identified by using geographic positioning systems (GPS). Eight mineralization related factors (geoscientific thematic layers) over the entire study area composed of analytic signal, lineament density, uranium-thorium ratio, uranium, potassium-thorium ratio, potassium, reduction-to-equator and geology were used to generate the MPMs. The predictive capacity of each of the MPMs generated was determined by employing the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). The AUC score obtained for the predictive models produced based on the information value and the frequency ratio approaches were respectively 0.794 and 0.815. The AUC scores generated indicate that the MPMs produced are good predictive models (with an AUC greater than 0.7) and can therefore assist in narrowing down the highly prospective zones of mineral occurrences within the study area. However, the overall predictive potential of the frequency ratio approach was better than the model produced by the information value approach.

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