PREDICTION OF CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE USING URINARY PROTEOMICS

Abstract

Objective: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is multifactorial, caused by complex pathophysiology, and contributes to a high burden of mortality worldwide. Urinary proteomic analyses may help to identify predictive biomarkers and provide insights into the pathogenesis of CAD. Design and method: Urinary proteome was analyzed in 965 participants using capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry. A proteomic classifier was developed in a discovery cohort with 36 individuals with CAD and 36 matched controls using the support vector machine. The classifier was tested in a validation cohort with 115 individuals who progressed to CAD and 778 controls and compared with a previously developed CAD-associated classifier, ACSP75. The Framingham risk score was available in 737 participants. Bioinformatics analysis was performed based on the CAD-associated peptides. Results: The novel proteomic classifier was comprised of 160 urinary peptides, mainly related to collagen turnover, lipid metabolism, and inflammation. In the validation cohort, the classifier provided an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI: 0.78-0.87) for the CAD prediction in 8 years, superior to ACSP75 (AUC: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.47-0.60). On top of ACSP75, the addition of the novel classifier improved the AUC to 0.84 (95% CI: 0.80-0.89). In a multivariable Cox model, a 1-SD increment in the novel classifier was associated with CAD (HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.26-1.89, P<0.0001) higher risk of CAD. The new classifier further improved the risk reclassification of CAD on top of the Framingham risk score (net reclassification index: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.25-0.95, P = 0.001). Conclusions: A novel urinary proteomic classifier related to collagen metabolism, lipids, and inflammation showed potential for the risk prediction of CAD. Urinary proteome provides an alternative approach to personalized prevention.