Prediction of composting maturity and identification of critical parameters for green waste compost using machine learning

Abstract

Ensuring the maturity of green waste compost is crucial to composting processes and quality control of compost products. However, accurate prediction of green waste compost maturity remains a challenge, as there are limited computational methods available. This study aimed to address this issue by employing four machine learning models to predict two indicators of green waste compost maturity: seed germination index (GI) and T value. The four models were compared, and the Extra Trees algorithm exhibited the highest prediction accuracy with R2 values of 0.928 for GI and 0.957 for T value. To identify the interactions between critical parameters and compost maturity, The Pearson correlation matrix and Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis were conducted. Furthermore, the accuracy of the models was validated through compost validation experiments. These findings highlight the potential of applying machine learning algorithms to predict green waste compost maturity and optimise process regulation.