Prediction of Blood Glucose Concentration Based on CEEMD and Improved Particle Swarm Optimization LSSVM.

Abstract

Aiming at the difficulty of accurate prediction due to the randomness and nonstationary nature of blood glucose concentration series, a blood glucose concentration prediction model based on complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD) and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is proposed. Firstly, CEEMD is used to convert the blood glucose concentration sequence into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) to reduce the impact of randomness and nonstationary signals on prediction performance. Then, a LSSVM prediction model is established for each mode IMF. The comprehensive learning particle swarm optimization (CLPSO) algorithm is used to optimize the kernel parameters of LSSVM. Finally, the prediction results of all IMFs are superimposed to yield the final blood glucose concentration prediction value. The experimental results show that the proposed prediction model has higher prediction accuracy in short-term blood glucose concentration values.