Abstract

Accurate prediction of thermoacoustic instability is a prerequisite for thermoacoustic control to avoid the damage of combustion chamber, however, this problem has not been completely solved yet. This paper proposes a data-driven method based on the Elman neural network (ENN) to predict the value of acoustic pressure of combustion instability. As a comparison, a model based on support vector machine (SVM) was built. It is proved that ENN has better prediction performance with a certain predicted time horizon compared to the SVM method. What is more, the prediction model based on ENN can adapt to time-varying characteristics of the transition scenario which is characterized by amplitude modulation, multiple frequencies, and irregular bursts. ENN model still maintains enough prediction accuracy for various input training sets, indicating that ENN can fully mine the features of data and has a strong feature extraction ability in combustion oscillation prediction. Hence, it is demonstrated that ENN is a promising prediction tool for thermoacoustic instability under various combustion conditions. These findings are of great significance for the accurate prediction and control of thermoacoustic instability.

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