Predicting Weather Forecasting State Based on Data Mining Classification Algorithms

Abstract

Weather forecasting is the process of predicting the status of the atmosphere for certain regions or locations by utilizing recent technology. Thousands of years ago, humans tried to foretell the weather state in some civilizations by studying the science of stars and astronomy. Realizing the weather conditions has a direct impact on many fields, such as commercial, agricultural, airlines, etc. With the recent development in technology, especially in the DM and machine learning techniques, many researchers proposed weather forecasting prediction systems based on data mining classification techniques. In this paper, we utilized neural networks, Naïve Bayes, random forest, and K-nearest neighbor algorithms to build weather forecasting prediction models. These models classify the unseen data instances to multiple class rain, fog, partly-cloudy day, clear-day and cloudy. These model performance for each algorithm has been trained and tested using synoptic data from the Kaggle website. This dataset contains (1796) instances and (8) attributes in our possession. Comparing with other algorithms, the Random forest algorithm achieved the best performance accuracy of 89%. These results indicate the ability of data mining classification algorithms to present optimal tools to predict weather forecasting.