Abstract

Objectives: It is very hard estimated the budget of construction projects at the first step of the building because of the limited data about the project at this step. Developing a mathematical equation to estimate the budget of the Iraqi construction project at initial step is the aim of this study. Method: It involves using of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to develop the mathematical equation. The researchers collected the information about cost for 501 sets project for the duration (2005–2015). The total costs of 25 activity of construction work such as (excavation the foundation works, Landfill works, filling with sub-base works, Construction works under moisture proof layer, Construction works above moisture proof layer, Construction works of sections, ordinary concrete for walkways, reinforced concrete foundation, reinforced concrete column, reinforced concrete lintel, reinforced concrete slabs, reinforced concrete beams, reinforced concrete stair, reinforced concrete for the sun bumper, plaster finishing works, cement finishing works, Plastic Paints, Pentellite paints, pigment color, Stone packaging, Works of placing marble, Ceramic works for floor, Ceramic works for walls, Flattening (two opposite layers of lime), Flattening (Tiling)) are utilized for cost prediction. Findings: The results of the correlation factor equal to (100%), the percentage of error equal (5.81%) and amount of precision was (94.19%) which indicated that the artificial neural network gives very good performance in prediction construction cost. Applications: ANN is proved useful in estimating the costs of construction well in advance especially when the data are incomplete or limited. Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, Construction Project, Cost Estimate, Cost Estimation Model

Highlights

  • The essential thing for construction managers is the budget of the construction; if the project completed with the same determined budget, time and quality required, the project considered successful[1]

  • A new method has recently emerged based on computer systems and simulating the human brain namely Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)[5]

  • In12 used ANN to create mathematical equation used to determine the budget of the expressway projects

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Summary

Introduction

The essential thing for construction managers is the budget of the construction; if the project completed with the same determined budget, time and quality required, the project considered successful[1]. A new method has recently emerged based on computer systems and simulating the human brain namely Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)[5] This technique is characterized by the other techniques, such as regression analysis technology, the ability to deal with the most complex cases[6]. In12 used ANN to create mathematical equation used to determine the budget of the expressway projects The researcher collected his data Stat Commission for Roads and Bridges in Iraq. At last, this technique gives very good result in predicting the budget of expressway project according to correlation factor and the precision of model

Overview on Artificial Neural Network
Development of ANN model
ANN Model Inputs and output
Data Division for ANN Model
Scaling of Data
ANN Model Final Equations
Validity of the Cost Estimation Model
10. Conclusions
Findings
11. References
Full Text
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