Abstract
Payment for ecosystem services (PES) is an important policy aiming to promote environmental protection. However, existing studies only focus on the historical PES and ignore their predictions, which leads to the mismatch and inefficient use in funds for supporting PES (PES funds). This paper takes the regions of Zhejiang-Jiangsu-Shanghai in China as the study area, and develops a systematic method integrating land-use change, CA-Markov model and ecosystem service value (ESV) model to predict the PES standards and optimizes PES funds allocation from 2025 to 2040. The results show that farmland and forest will be largely transformed into construction land. ESV will increase and its distribution will involve significant spatial differences caused by the increase in wetland, water, and forest, and the equivalent factor. The PES funds obtained by this region are obviously underestimated; Taking ecological gain as the basis for optimizing PES fund allocation, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Shanghai obtained 274 million USD, 168 million USD and 150 million USD from 2025 to 2040, respectively. This study can provide a reference for governments of developing countries to manage these funds, improve their use efficiency and alleviate regional contradictions.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
