Abstract
The study examines the historical data of about 4700 air crashes all over the world since the first recorded air crash of 1908. Given the immense impact on human beings as well as companies, the study aimed at utilizing Machine Learning principles for predicting fatalities. The train-test partition used was 75-25. Employing the IBM SPSS Modeler, the machine learning models used included CHAID model, Neural Network, Generalized Linear Model, XGBoost, Random Trees and the Ensemble model to predict fatalities in air crashes. The best results (90.6% accuracy) were achieved through Neural Network with one hidden layer. The results presented also include comparison of the predicted versus observed results for the test data.
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