Abstract
The purpose of the article is to develop an approach to quality forecasting of industrial enterprises. This article intends to understand how to take into account in predicting relationship, behavior and interaction of economic agents that affect the efficiency of the enterprise. The result of the work is a reflexive approach to forecasting the development of an industrial enterprise, which focuses on prediction considering the complex interaction of economic agents in industrial activities as subjects of reflection with appropriate ranks. The approach based on the proposed model, which taking into account the reflective relationships between the industrial enterprise system and the components of the external environment, in which the industrial enterprise and other economic agents (or groups of economic agents) are considered as systems and trajectories. Depending on the trajectories of the components of the environment can be predicted development of industrial enterprises and management measures developed for correction. As components of the external environment, the trajectories of which must be taken into account when reflexively forecasting the development of an industrial enterprise are offered: the market of raw materials; groups of competitors; consumer groups; supplier groups; financial market; labor market. The model of taking into account the reflective connections between the system of the industrial enterprise and the components of the external environment is implemented in the PowerSim simulation package.
Highlights
Accurate forecasts are vital for decision support modern companies
This paper presents a reflexive approach to forecasting the development of industrial enterprises, able to evaluate and optimize the implementation of tasks
Building a tree of situations based on expert assessments is carried out by interviewing heads of departments of the enterprise, sales agents, contractors and consumers, and other experts who have sufficient information and qualifications to predict the possible development of the external environment of the industrial enterprise
Summary
Accurate forecasts are vital for decision support modern companies. The process of forecasting is the first step in the management of industrial establishments. When forecasting the development of enterprises traditionally refers to "identify and study possible alternatives for future development of the company" (Li et al, 2018) or "study of qualitative and quantitative changes its state in the future, as well as methods and deadlines to achieve these states" (Hu et al, 2019). Forecasting provides grounds for the implementation of related management functions, first of all, further planning of the enterprise. In today's world, under the conditions of the industrial revolution and industrial transition in the sixth technological way, special attention needs forecasting and production technologies required for their development of human capital, etc. In today's world, under the conditions of the industrial revolution and industrial transition in the sixth technological way, special attention needs forecasting and production technologies required for their development of human capital, etc. (Andriushchenko at el, 2019)
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
