Abstract

Benthic assemblages of the Antarctic continental shelf are dominated by sessile and slow-moving, epifaunal invertebrates. This community structure persists because shell-crushing (durophagous) predators are absent or ecologically insignificant in shelf habitats. Durophagous teleosts, elasmobranchs, and crustaceans have been excluded by cold waters over the Antarctic shelf for millions of years. Now, as shallow waters warm rapidly, predatory king crabs (Lithodidae) living in the upper bathyal zone could emerge onto the shelf and into nearshore habitats. To assess the potential for a bathymetric expansion, we genetically inferred the historical demography of a population of the most abundant durophagous predator found in deep water off the western Antarctic Peninsula: the lithodid Paralomis birsteini Macpherson. Analysis of mitochondrial DNA sequences from crabs sampled at 1200–1400 m depth on the slope off Marguerite Bay suggests this population has expanded twice over the past 132,000 years. Those expansions were possibly coincident with episodes of climatic warming in Antarctica and elsewhere, raising the possibility of a third expansion in response to anthropogenic climate change.

Highlights

  • Climate change is altering the composition and dynamics of marine communities at all latitudes (Doney et al 2012, Poloczanska et al 2013)

  • The question cannot be resolved by the fossil record, because the Neogene record of decapod crustaceans is poor in Antarctica, having been largely erased by repeated ice-scour

  • Our findings suggest that the population of Antarctic king crabs we analyzed has undergone a demographic expansion

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change is altering the composition and dynamics of marine communities at all latitudes (Doney et al 2012, Poloczanska et al 2013). By allowing durophagous predators to return, anthropogenic climate change could shift those dynamics, compromising the unique community structure of the Antarctic bottom-fauna. King crabs (Lithodidae), which inhabit the slightly warmer waters of the upper continental slope, could be the vanguard of an invasion of shell-crushing predators in Antarctic shelf habitats (Aronson et al 2015, 2017). Whether they can be considered invasive on the slope or whether they have been present there for millions of years remains an open question (Griffiths et al 2013). Fossils are not the sole remnants of information left by past populations

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