Abstract
This study assesses the impact of policy uncertainty and the interest rate environment on the sovereign-bank nexus considering 48 banks in 14 countries. By applying principal component analysis to bank CDS premia in a country, the dynamic conditional correlation between sovereign CDS premia and the common variation underlying bank CDS is specified. Fixed effects panel regression analysis shows that the sovereign-bank correlation significantly increases in times of great policy uncertainty, low bank interest margins, high interbank market rates, and a low ratio of bank Tier 1 capital.
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