Player evaluation in Twenty20 cricket

Abstract

This paper introduces a new metric for player evaluation in Twenty20 cricket. The proposed metric of expected run differential measures the proposed additional runs that a player contributes to his team when compared to a standard player. Of course, the definition of a standard player depends on their role and therefore the metric is useful for comparing players that belong to the same positional cohort. We provide methodology to investigate both career performances and current form. Our metrics do not correlate highly with conventional measures such as batting average, strike rate, bowling average, economy rate and the Reliance ICC ratings. Consequently, our analyses of individual players based on results from international competitions provide some insights that differ from widely held beliefs. We supplement our analysis of player evaluation by investigating those players who may be overpaid or underpaid in the Indian Premier League.