Abstract

Twenty20 format of cricket is a fast track ball game compared to the other formats of cricket viz. Test and One-day International (50-over a side). The Indian Premier League (IPL) is a national franchise based Twenty20 cricket tournament initiated by Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI). In this format, each batsman tries to score maximum runs in minimum balls. This fact increases the probability of dismissal of a batsman. As fall of wickets leads to the loss of resources of the batting side, thus it has an impact on the result of the game. This study tries to examine the survival ability of Indian and overseas batsmen in IPL 2012 season using a probabilistic model. The proposed model can be used to forecast the survival rate of the batsmen on the pitch in other format of cricket also, while the game is in progress. The findings of the study can be used to arrange the batting order of a team in Twenty20 cricket based on the match situation.

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