Abstract

Probabilistic analysis tool is important to quantify the impacts of the uncertainties on power system operations. However, the repetitive calculations of power flow are time-consuming. To address this issue, data-driven approaches are proposed but they are not robust to the uncertain injections and varying topology. This article proposes a model-driven graph convolution neural network (MD-GCN) for power flow calculation with high-computational efficiency and good robustness to topology changes. Compared with the basic graph convolution neural network (GCN), the construction of MD-GCN considers the physical connection relationships among different nodes. This is achieved by embedding the linearized power flow model into the layer-wise propagation. Such a structure enhances the interpretability of the network forward propagation. To ensure that enough features are extracted in MD-GCN, a new input feature construction method with multiple neighborhood aggregations and a global pooling layer are developed. This allows us to integrate both global features and neighborhood features, yielding the complete features representation of the system-wide impacts on every single node. Numerical results on the IEEE 30-bus, 57-bus, 118-bus, and 1354-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed method achieves much better performance as compared to other approaches in the presence of uncertain power injections and system topology.

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