Abstract

Diurnal variation of convective storms (CSs) during monsoon season and associated physical mechanisms are significantly important for accurate forecast of short-time and extreme precipitation. The diurnal cycle of CSs is investigated using ground-based X-band radar, Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Precipitation Radar, and reanalysis data during the summer monsoon (June–September of 2014) over complex mountain terrain of Western Ghats, India. Diurnally, CSs show a bimodal distribution in the coastal areas, but this bimodality became weak along the upslope regions and on the mountain top. The first occurrence mode of CSs is in the afternoon–evening hours, while the second peak is in the early-morning hours. The diurnal cycle’s intensity varies with location, such that it reaches maximum in the afternoon–evening hours and early morning on the mountain top and coastal areas, respectively. Two possible mechanisms are proposed for the observed diurnal variation in CSs (a) the radiative cooling effect and (b) the surface wind convergence induced by the interaction between land-sea breeze, local topography and large-scale monsoon winds. It is also observed that the CSs developed on the mountain top during afternoon–evening hours are deeper than those along the coast. The higher moisture in the lower- and mid-troposphere, higher instability and strong upward motion facilitate deeper CSs during afternoon–evening hours.

Highlights

  • As the spatial and temporal resolutions of the reanalysis data are coarser compared to ground-based radar, the true representation of background physical mechanisms are questionable

  • To understand how the ERA5 can describe the atmospheric parameters in such a hilly and uneven topography, the near-surface temperature over 17.5–18◦ N, and 73.5–74◦ E region are compared with surface temperature measurements collected from the automatic weather station (AWS) at Mahabaleshwar (17.92◦ N, 73.6◦ E, ∼ 1.4 km AMSL) in WG

  • It can be observed that the reanalysis data reasonably represented the diurnal and monthly variability in near-surface temperature over the radar domain, the magnitude is different

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Summary

Introduction

The reflectivity threshold of 35 dBZ at 2 km is considered to identify CSs within each pixel of the TRMM-PR measurements. To explore the plausible mechanism for the observed diurnal cycle of CSs, the latest global reanalysis data, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ERA5; Copernicus Climate Change Service, C3S), is used. The ERA5 reanalysis provides the atmospheric parameters, such as temperature, humidity, winds, etc., at 37 vertical pressure levels from 1000 to 1 hPa. The present study utilized temperature, specific humidity, horizontal and vertical winds, divergence at the surface and different pressure levels.

Results
Conclusion
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