Physical models and simulations of global tropical cyclogenesis

Abstract

Currently, difficulties relating to the construction of physical and synoptical models of tropical cyclogenesis are widely covered in the literature. The basic lines of investigations are the following: — synoptical statistical modeling and forecasting based on the relationships that have come to light between tropical cyclone activity and mesoscale and largescale climatic factors; — modeling that combines specialized simulation of tropical cyclone–like vortices and highly developed global climate change (GCC) models; — physical modeling and developing of TC models on the basis of thermodynamic and hydrodynamic principals and on the non-linear theory of chaos (the transition between chaos and order).