Abstract

The present study was carried out to find out whether or not peripheral blood T cell subsets predict the prognosis of a gastric cancer patient preoperatively. In this retrospective study, we used preoperative T cell subset data from 34 patients with advanced gastric cancer who had been treated by resection. T cell subsets were measured by single color flow cytometry before surgery. Multivariate analysis, using the Cox proportional hazard model, was adjusted to the CD3 cell count, disease stage, the CD16 cell count and the CD4/CD8 ratio, and suggested CD3 cell count (chi 2 = 4.95, P = 0.026) and disease stage (chi 2 = 9.32, P = 0.002) to be statistically the most independent prognostic factors. Using the hazard ratio, the relative risks of the worst versus the best prognosis were 24.3 for the CD3 cell count and 10 for disease stage. For patients with more than 1483 CD3 positive cells, a longer than average survival time can be expected. The prospective hazard ratio (lambda (t)/lambda 0(t)) of an arbitrary gastric cancer patient can be calculated using the following expression: log(e) (lambda (t)/lambda 0(t)) = -0.00127 (CD3 cell count-1483) +2.31186 (Stage-0.606), where Stage III is assigned a value of 0 and Stage IV a value of 1. The survival curve of an arbitrary gastric cancer patient can also be predicted.

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