Performance of machine learning models to forecast PM10 levels

Abstract

Machine learning techniques have garnered considerable attention in modern technologies due to their promising outcomes across various domains. This paper presents the comprehensive methodology of an optimized and efficient forecasting approach for Particulate Matter 10, specifically tailored to predefined locations. The execution of a comparative analysis involving eight models enables the identification of the most suitable model that aligns with the primary research objective. Notably, the test results underscore the superior performance of an ensemble model, which integrates state-of-the-art methodologies, surpassing the performance of the other seven state-of-the-art models. Adopting a case-specific methodology with machine learning techniques contributes to achieving a notably high regression coefficient (R²≈1) across all models. Furthermore, the study underscores the potential for future endeavors in predicting location-specific environmental factors.•This study focused on forecasting PM10 with machine learning models with the consideration of air quality factors and meteorological factors•Ensemble model was developed for the forecasting purposes with higher performance.