Abstract
Energy transition is an important factor when dealing with climate change and energy crisis under resource constraints. The performance evaluation of it is significant for improving and promoting the process of energy transition. This paper explores the application of the support vector machine improved by the artificial bee colony algorithm (IABC-SVM) method in the energy transition performance evaluation process. It provides an intelligent evaluation tool for the evaluation of the regional energy transition performance. Firstly, the evaluation indicator system of energy transition is constructed from five dimensions: energy supply, demand, efficiency, institution, and environment. Then, the technique for order preference by a similar to ideal solution improved by a combination weighting (CW-TOPSIS) method and IABC-SVM are constructed. After that, according to the evaluation values of 30 provinces in China calculated by CW-TOPSIS, 10-fold cross validation is used to compare the errors of support vector machine (SVM), support vector machine optimized by the artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-SVM), and IABC-SVM, which proves the effectiveness and accuracy of IABC-SVM in evaluating the performance of energy transition. Finally, the IABC-SVM is used to evaluate the energy transition performance of 30 provinces in 2016. Through a comparative analysis, the relevant suggestions of energy transition are put forward.
Highlights
With the increasing attention that is being paid to the issues of energy security, climate change, and ecological environment protection by the international community, accelerating energy transition has become a universal consensus and concerted action of all countries in the world [1]
Evaluation Model Based on the Technique for Order Preference by a Similar to Ideal Solution Improved by a Combination Weighting Method
Model after training are3very to the6.traditional evaluation results. It shows that the IABC-support vector machine (SVM) constructed in this paper is scientific and reasonable in evaluating the performance of energy transition
Summary
With the increasing attention that is being paid to the issues of energy security, climate change, and ecological environment protection by the international community, accelerating energy transition has become a universal consensus and concerted action of all countries in the world [1]. In 2014, China put forward the energy transition strategy of four revolutions, one cooperation, aimed at building a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient modern energy system [2]. The evaluation of energy transition can clearly recognize the performance of regional energy transformation, and guide the actual work of energy transition and development, identify problems in a timely manner, and adjust the development path. It is of great significance to grasp the process of energy transition and promote the energy revolution. The performance evaluation of energy transition is a complex and multi-indicator comprehensive evaluation problem. The validity of the evaluation depends on the rationality of the indicator system
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