Abstract
Human Development Index (HDI) is an important issue in designing and strategizing of sustainable development. Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) is a regression approach that produces models with continous character on knots. MARS models are determined based on trial and error for a combination of basis function (BF), maximum interaction (MI), and minimum observation (MO). The determination of knots is based on the minimum Generalized Cross Validation (GCV) value. The results of this study are the combination value of BF = 52, MI = 3, and MO = 2 with a minimum GCV of 0,00049. The factors that influence HDI are average school length (X2) per capita expenditure (X4), life expactancy (X3), persentage of poor woman aged 15-49 who use the birth control tool (X5).
Highlights
Human Development Index (HDI) is an important issue in designing and strategizing of sustainable development
Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) models are determined based on trial and error for a combination
The determination of knots is based on the minimum Generalized Cross Validation
Summary
Human Development Index (HDI) is an important issue in designing and strategizing of sustainable development. Diperoleh nilai kombinasi BF = 20, MI = 3, dan MO = 2 dengan GCV minimum sebesar 0,01651. Variabel respon yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah indeks pembangunan manusia (Y), sedangkan variabel prediktor yang diduga mempengaruhi variabel respon adalah persentase penduduk miskin (X1), rata-rata lama sekolah (X2), angka harapan hidup (X3), pengeluaran per kapita (X4), persentase perempuan berstatus miskin usia 15-49 tahun yang menggunakan alat KB (X5).
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