Abstract

This study was conducted to assess the validity and reliability of a Futures Thinking Test (FTT) Instrument using the Rasch Measurement Model. The FTT instrument was constructed to measure the futures thinking skills of secondary school students. The FTT consists of 11 items in the form of open-ended structured questions and was distributed to a total of 44 respondents who were 16-year-old Form Four students who took Science subject at one secondary school in the district of Kudat, Sabah. This instrument was developed to assess five constructs in futures thinking namely i) understanding the current situation; ii) identifying key trends; iii) analyzing relevant drivers; iv) synthesizing future possibilities and needs; and v) selection with justification the preferable futures. Findings of instrument validity through item polarity showed the PTMEA-Corr values of all 11 items were positive (> 0.00). Based on the analysis of item polarity and item suitability, all 11 items were retained as they met one of the requirements of MNSQ outfit, ZSTD Outfit and PTMEA- Corr with two items needed improvement. The value of Raw Variance Explained by Measure of this instrument was 54.1% (Good) and Unexplained Variance from the first to fifth contrast was less than 11% which falls within the ideal range value of less than 15%. This indicates that the FTT instrument has good unidimensionality and has strong construct validity. The Cronbach Alpha (KR-20) reliability value of the instrument was 0.65 (good and acceptable), item reliability index was 0.95 (excellent) and item isolation was 4.55 (good). The findings of the analysis concluded that all 11 items were accepted with two items needed revision and can be used to assess the five constructs of futures thinking among secondary school students.

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