Pathological prognostic factors of rectal cancer based on diffusion-weighted imaging, intravoxel incoherent motion, and diffusion kurtosis imaging.

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To explore diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM), and diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) for assessing pathological prognostic factors in patients with rectal cancer. A total of 162 patients (105 males; mean age of 61.8 ± 13.1 years old) scheduled to undergo radical surgery were enrolled in this prospective study. The pathological prognostic factors included histological differentiation, lymph node metastasis (LNM), and extramural vascular invasion (EMVI). The DWI, IVIM, and DKI parameters were obtained and correlated with prognostic factors using univariable and multivariable logistic regression. Their assessment value was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that higher mean kurtosis (MK) (odds ratio (OR) = 194.931, p < 0.001) and lower apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) (OR = 0.077, p = 0.025) were independently associated with poorer differentiation tumors. Higher perfusion fraction (f) (OR = 575.707, p = 0.023) and higher MK (OR = 173.559, p < 0.001) were independently associated with LNMs. Higher f (OR = 1036.116, p = 0.024), higher MK (OR = 253.629, p < 0.001), lower mean diffusivity (MD) (OR = 0.125, p = 0.038), and lower ADC (OR = 0.094, p = 0.022) were independently associated with EMVI. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of MK for histological differentiation was significantly higher than ADC (0.771 vs. 0.638, p = 0.035). The AUC of MK for LNM positivity was higher than f (0.770 vs. 0.656, p = 0.048). The AUC of MK combined with MD (0.790) was the highest among f (0.663), MK (0.779), MD (0.617), and ADC (0.610) in assessing EMVI. The DKI parameters may be used as imaging biomarkers to assess pathological prognostic factors of rectal cancer before surgery. Diffusion kurtosis imaging (DKI) parameters, particularly mean kurtosis (MK), are promising biomarkers for assessing histological differentiation, lymph node metastasis, and extramural vascular invasion of rectal cancer. These findings suggest DKI's potential in the preoperative assessment of rectal cancer. Mean kurtosis outperformed the apparent diffusion coefficient in assessing histological differentiation in resectable rectal cancer. Perfusion fraction and mean kurtosis are independent indicators for assessing lymph node metastasis in rectal cancer. Mean kurtosis and mean diffusivity demonstrated superior accuracy in assessing extramural vascular invasion.