Abstract
This article investigates provincial elections in Ecuador and observes the degree to which they can be explained by national factors or whether these elections displayed their own (provincial) dynamics. Using a novel typology of parties based on their territorial dimension and the presence of provincial parties, it combines an analysis of the supply-side (electoral lists) and of the demand-side (voting behaviour) of these elections. The performance of the main political parties and alliances for the 2014 and 2019 provincial elections is investigated and regression analyses demonstrate that the type of party has a direct impact on its electoral performance. It concludes that provincial parties are important actors in the provincial elections in Ecuador. Provincial parties are the most successful stand-alone type of parties, and when they join an electoral alliance with other political parties, their benefcial effect on election results is reinforced.
Highlights
On the 24 March 2019, more than 13 million of Ecuadorians were called to elect their new representatives for a series of national and subnational institutions
This article aimed to investigate the 2014 and 2019 provincial elections in Ecuador and to observe the degree to which they can be explained by national factors or whether these elections displayed their own dynamics
The research design combined an analysis of the supply-side and an analysis of the demand-side of these provincial elections
Summary
On the 24 March 2019, more than 13 million of Ecuadorians were called to elect their new representatives for a series of national and subnational institutions. This article combines a supply-side analysis (electoral lists) and demand-side (voting behaviour) of the 2019 provincial elections and is structured as follows: a first section presents the typology of parties that can be constructed based on the characteristics of parties and candidates competing in these elections, with a particular focus on the territorial dimension and on the presence of provincial parties within the electoral alliances. According to the Ecuadorian electoral rules (Ley Orgánica Electoral y de Organizaciones Políticas), the definition and several characteristics of a political party are legally determined and political parties must register to the National Electoral Council (CNE) in order to be authorized to compete in elections These administrative barriers limit the number of parties allowed to compete and further distinguish parties based on the level of government they may compete. Given that this article investigates provincial elections, I will only focus on parties that were registered based on a national or on a provincial scope
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