Abstract

Oteros-Rozas, E., B. Martín-López, T. Daw, E. L. Bohensky, J. Butler, R. Hill, J. Martin-Ortega, A. Quinlan, F. Ravera, I. Ruiz-Mallén, M. Thyresson, J. Mistry, I. Palomo, G. D. Peterson, T. Plieninger, K. A. Waylen, D. Beach, I. C. Bohnet, M. Hamann, J. Hanspach, K. Hubacek, S. Lavorel and S. Vilardy 2015. Participatory scenario planning in place-based social-ecological research: insights and experiences from 23 case studies. Ecology and Society 20(4):32.http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-07985-200432

Highlights

  • A scenario is a coherent, internally consistent, and plausible description of a potential future trajectory of a system (e.g., Heugens and van Oosterhout 2001)

  • Lack of rigor is a potential weakness in scenario planning exercises, this is often compensated by its utility to clarify, distinguish, and explore social-ecological feedbacks and potential surprises that cannot be represented in more formalized modeling approaches (Bennett et al 2003)

  • Participatory scenario planning (PSP) improved the quality of dialogue among stakeholders with complementary types of knowledge and has the potential to support creativity and social innovation

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Summary

Introduction

A scenario is a coherent, internally consistent, and plausible description of a potential future trajectory of a system (e.g., Heugens and van Oosterhout 2001). (e.g. the drivers of change identified in previous interviews and surveys were used by the research team to select the 3/4 guidelines of each scenario, data about impact of climate change in the area was used as guidelines for scenarios,...). Main stakeholders involved in the scenario process included comanagement groups, NGOs, natural resources agencies resources industry. To reflect on/select drivers, key-variables, power relations, land change 30 7

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