Abstract

Thorn, J. P. R., J. A. Klein, C. Steger, K. A. Hopping, C. Capitani, C. M. Tucker, A. W. Nolin, R. S. Reid, R. Seidl, V. S. Chitale, and R. Marchant. 2020. A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures. Ecology and Society 25(3):6. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-11608-250306

Highlights

  • Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES; Box 1) encompass approximately 30.5% of all land (Karagulle et al 2017, Sayre et al 2018) and 23% of the Earth’s total forest cover (Körner and Ohsawa 2006)

  • We investigate three questions: (1) How has Participatory scenario planning (PSP) been employed in MtSES, with what geographic, temporal, and thematic foci? (2) What are the benefits of PSP as applied to MtSES? (3) What are key gaps of PSP in MtSES, and what can be learned from PSP in other contexts?

  • To help structure our coding of the studies, we used themes taken from a synthesis of key issues for MtSES sustainability (Klein et al 2019b), the global planetary and social boundaries frameworks (Rockström et al 2009, Raworth 2012), and a nine-step process for conducting PSP that we developed based on a literature review and expert contribution

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Summary

Introduction

Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES; Box 1) encompass approximately 30.5% of all land (Karagulle et al 2017, Sayre et al 2018) and 23% of the Earth’s total forest cover (Körner and Ohsawa 2006). Based on 2017 population data, MtSES are inhabited by up to 28.3% (2.21 billion) of the global human population (Karagulle et al 2017, Rose et al 2018), many of whom are among the world’s poorest people (Körner et al 2017). Many local communities rely on the ecosystem services from MtSES regions, such as timber, natural hazard regulation, and tourism, for their subsistence and livelihoods (Harrison et al 2010). Beyond these MtSES communities, more than half of humanity relies on the freshwater originating in MtSES (Liniger and Weingartner 1998). The world’s 10 longest rivers have headwaters in MtSES, e.g., the Yangtze River on the Tibetan Plateau and Congo River in the East African Rift (Encalada et al 2019)

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