Abstract

The EU regulations require long-term renovation strategies (LTRS) for the energy transition of the existing building stock, emphasising the importance of the whole-life carbon evaluation and the cost-effectiveness of the processes. The building performance simulation (BPS) tools combined with the integration of the life cycle thinking (LCT) are considered a promising approach for evaluating the renovation of buildings. Besides, the performance gap due to occupant behaviour (OB) and the uncertainty of the economic scenario is an essential barrier to the accurate assessment of renovation strategies in residential buildings. The objective of this study is to develop a simulation tool to evaluate the environmental and economic sustainability of energy renovations in residential buildings based on LCT, considering the OB diversity and economic uncertainty. For this, the study develops the PARARENOVATE-LCT tool. This script-based tool combines the dynamic BPS and the integration of the environmental life cycle assessment (LCA) and the economic life cycle cost (LCC), evaluating different renovation strategies in multiple scenarios based on the combination of multiple variables of archetype, climatic zone, OB patterns, economic scenario and orientation. The methodological tool is applied in a case study of the most common archetypes of single-family and multi-family residential buildings of the Basque Country, in northern Spain. The results show how the tool can prioritise strategies, analyse the significance of baseline scenario parameters, and measure the influence of the LCT application. This way, the study provides a methodological tool as a new approach towards developing policies and plans to answer the EU requirements.

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