Abstract

Abstract Background Recent studies showed that both worsening renal function (WRF) and improved renal function (IRF) during hospitalization are associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute decompensate heart failure (ADHF). On the other hand, plasma volume (PV) expansion plays an essential role in ADHF. However, there is little information about the difference of prognostic impact of WRF and IRF in ADHF patients, relating to PV status (PVS). Methods We prospectively studied 348 patients admitted for ADHF. PVS was defined as follows: actual PV = (1 - hematocrit) × [a + (b × body weight)] (a=1530 in males and a=864 in females, b=41.0 in males and b=47.9 in females); ideal PV = c × body weight (c=39 in males and c=40 in females); and PVS = [(actual PV - ideal PV)/ideal PV] × 100 (%). WRF and IRF were defined as an increase and a decrease in serum creatinine of ≥0.3 mg/dl from admission to discharge, respectively. The endpoint was readmission for worsening heart failure (WHF) within 1 year. Result Median PVS was 6.7% (IQR: −4.1%–16.7%). 43 and 21 patients had WHF in groups with high PVS (PVS ≥ median) and low PVS (PVS > median), respectively. In high PVS group, multivariate Cox analysis showed that IRF was independently and significantly associated with WHF (p=0.016, HR: 2.4 [1.2–4.8]), but WRF was not (p=0.55, HR: 0.7 [0.3–2.1]). On the other hand, in low PVS group, WRF was independently associated with WHF (p=0.035, HR: 3.0 [1.1–8.1]), but IRF was not (p=0.27, HR: 2.1 [0.6–8.0]). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that only patients with IRF had a significantly higher risk of WHF than those with stable renal function (SRF) in high PVS group, while patients with WRF had a significantly higher risk of WHF than those with SRF in low PVS group. Worsening heart failure-free rate curves Conclusion In ADHF patients with PV expansion, IRF during hospitalization could predict poor outcomes, but WRF could not. On the other hand, in ADHF patients without PV expansion, not IRF but WRF could predict poor outcomes. PVS guided-therapy may be considered in secondary prevention for WHF.

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