Abstract

Abstract Background Progression of atherosclerosis is a non-uniform process characterized by coexistence of normal vessel wall (NVW) and advanced fibroatheroma within the same cross-section (Figure). Plaque progression from NVW to fibroatheroma usually takes years, that has never been investigated in human. Purpose To investigate the incidence and related factors associated with atherosclerotic progression from NVW to fibroatheroma using long-term serial optical coherence tomography (OCT) follow-up data over 5 years. Methods We enrolled 47 vessels in 30 patients who had undergone serial OCT imaging over 5 years (average: 6.8 years). Baseline and follow-up OCT images were matched for longitudinal and circumferential location and OCT cross-sections that had NVW >30 degrees were enrolled. NVW was defined as vessel wall having OCT-detectable three-layer structure with intimal thickening ≤300μm. Cross-sections were diagnosed as +Progression when NVW in the cross-section reduced by >30 degrees during >5-year follow-up. Results In the present study, atherogenic progression from NVW to fibroatheroma was observed only in 37.2% of the enrolled cross-sections. On the other hand, despite an average long-term follow-up period of 6.8 years, the extent of NVW was maintained in 62.8% of cross-sections. The incidence of microchannel in adjacent fibroatheroma within the same cross-section (23.6% vs. 13.1%, p=0.023), eccentric plaque distribution (21.7% vs. 11.4%, p=0.019), and concave shape (6.6% vs. 0%, p=0.001) at baseline was significantly higher in cross-sections with +Progression than those without Progression. Average intimal thickness of NVW (187.2±64.9μm vs. 170.7±68.6μm; p=0.048) at baseline was significantly thicker in cross-sections with +Progression than those without. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the presence of microchannel, eccentric plaque distribution and thicker average intimal thickness of NVW at baseline were independently associated with plaque progression during the follow-up. Atheroma progression Conclusion The presence of microchannel in adjacent fibroatheroma, eccentric plaque distribution, and thicker intimal thickening of NVW were potentially associated with plaque progression from NVW to fibroatheroma.

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