Abstract

Abstract Background Diabetes mellitus is associated with a high risk of heart failure. The predictors of futures heart failure events in diabetic patients are not clearly understood. BNP measurement can be used as a surrogate endpoint for the diagnosis of heart failure. We investigated the determinants of an increase in BNP level in a large cohort of asymptomatic diabetic patients without known cardiac disease Methods This prospective study included consecutive stable diabetic (type 1 or 2) patients coming for yearly check-up between March 2015 and July 2018 in the university center for the study of diabetes and its complications. Patients with an history of cardiac disease (coronary artery disease, atrial fibrillation, cardiomyopathy, previous heart failure ...) were excluded. All patients had a complete clinical exam, blood pressure measurement (3 consecutive times – mean of 2 lasts measurements), ECG, and blood sample including HbA1C, risk factors assessment, renal function (CKD-EPI) and BNP measurement. Data are presented as mean±SD or median - Spearman's rank and multivariate regression were used for analysis. Results 3743 patients (mean age 57±14 y.o. – 57% male – 78% / 18% / 4% of type 2, type 1 or other type of diabetes respectively – Mean duration of diabetes 17 [1–63] y. – 44% treated with insulin) were studied. Mean±SD / median [min-max] BNP level was 25±39 / 12 [4–737] ng/L. BNP was <20 / 21–35 / 36–50 / 51–100 / 101–400 / >400 ng/L in 69 / 15 / 6 / 7 / 3 / 0.1% of the population respectively. The parameters most correlated with BNP level in type 1 and type 2 diabetes were age, duration of diabetes, renal function, HbA1C, and pulsed pressure. For multivariate analysis, renal function was removed of the model as it was highly correlated with age (r=−0.68). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that in type 1 diabetes, high BNP level was linked to age (p<0.001), pulsed pressure (p<0.001), duration of diabetes (p=0.003) and HbA1C (p=0.02). In type 2 diabetes, high BNP level was linked to age (p<0.0001), pulsed pressure (p<0.0001), duration of diabetes (p=0.005) but not HbA1C (p=0.09). Interestingly the type of treatment (mainly insulin treatment) was not independently related to an increase in BNP level. Conclusion Age, pulsed pressure and duration of diabetes are the main determinants of an increased level of BNP in asymptomatic diabetic patients without any history of cardiac disease. This result could help to select a population who could benefit to a more extensive follow up concerning heart failure.

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