Overview of terrestrial water storage changes over the Indus River Basin based on GRACE/GRACE-FO solutions

Abstract

Water resources are under severe stress in the highly populated Indus River Basin due to the increased consumption of water across different sectors and climate change. Coping with these challenges, requires a clear understanding on hydrological processes and anthropogenic activities, and how these are influencing recharging and spatiotemporal availability of groundwater in the basin. The present study aims to investigate the natural and anthropogenic impact on Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) over the Indus River Basin by using a series of statistical methods and the observation data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and Follow-On (GRACE-FO). Our results show that (i) TWS Anomaly (TWSA) experienced a significant decrease from 2002 to 2020, particularly in the MUIP; (ii) the UIB showed a weak decreasing trend in TWSA as a result of the accelerated glacier melting; (iii) there was significant loss of groundwater (1.57 mm/month) caused by ineffective water management and over-exploitation; and (iv) assisted by favorable meteorological conditions, the precipitation presented a positive trend against the weakness of the Westerlies, which exerted the positive influence on TWSA.