Origin of ice in the Medusae Fossae Formation, equatorial Mars

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We assess and test the recent radar-sounding findings of huge, kms-thick quantities of ice along the equatorial region of Mars covered by a thick protective cap (the Medusae Fossae Formation (MFF); Watters et al., 2024), using 1) atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs), 2) glacial ice accumulation and flow models, and 3) models for ice ablation-induced accumulation residues. Our results indicate that under Hesperian-era conditions, Mars at ∼40° spin-axis obliquity is predicted to accumulate snow/ice in excess of a km in less than a few million years in the MFF region, producing cold-based glaciers with basal melting over <7% of the deposit. We find that subsequent ablation of this ice deposit surface in the several billion year-long Amazonian during periods of episodic eolian stripping of MFF protective sublimation residues and dust/tephra deposits, provides a mechanism sufficient to form the thick capping layer. Similar, shorter-duration obliquity excursions during this period may have also contributed additional ice-sublation residue layers, consistent with the complex stratigraphy of the MFF. On the basis of the estimated non-ice component of the MFF ice deposit, we suggest that ablation alone could have formed the cap unit in a minimum of ∼350 million years, but was likely to have been episodic, operating in concert with periods of eolian surface lag removal over a much longer time period. The tripartite subdivision of MFF stratigraphy could indicate major periods of Amazonian obliquity excursions that deposited and removed thinner layers of ice and sublimation residue. The very high abundance of non-esker-like fluvial channels in part of the Lower Member of the MFF, combined with the paucity of ice-sheet basal melting in our analysis, suggests that ablation processes were sometimes dominated by top-down ice heating, melting and fluvial runoff. In summary, our three-part modeling approach supports the new findings, and offers new dimensions for the further analysis of the enigmatic MFF.