Abstract

Detecting COVID-19 cases as early as possible became a critical issue that must be addressed to avoid the pandemic’s additional spread and early provide the appropriate treatment to the affected patients. This study aimed to develop a COVID-19 diagnosis and prediction (AIMDP) model that could identify patients with COVID-19 and distinguish it from other viral pneumonia signs detected in chest computed tomography (CT) scans. The proposed system uses convolutional neural networks (CNNs) as a deep learning technology to process hundreds of CT chest scan images and speeds up COVID-19 case prediction to facilitate its containment. We employed the whale optimization algorithm (WOA) to select the most relevant patient signs. A set of experiments validated AIMDP performance. It demonstrated the superiority of AIMDP in terms of the area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) curve, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive rate (NPR) and negative predictive value (NPV). AIMDP was applied to a dataset of hundreds of real data and CT images, and it was found to achieve 96% AUC for diagnosing COVID-19 and 98% for overall accuracy. The results showed the promising performance of AIMDP for diagnosing COVID-19 when compared to other recent diagnosing and predicting models.

Highlights

  • The current epidemic of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) [1] has spread extensively around the world

  • The AIMDP model’s performance when using the FS phase utilizes the whale optimization algorithm (FSWOA) module was significantly better than without the module

  • The performance of AIMDP for diagnosing COVID-19 patients and or other viral pneumonia patients was evaluated by plotting an area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) curve (Fig. 12)

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Summary

Introduction

The current epidemic of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) [1] has spread extensively around the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) has declared that COVID-19 is an international pandemic [2,3]. To the date (November 15th, 2020), there have been 54,790,349 confirmed cases and 1,323,898 deaths worldwide [4]. COVID-19 is exceptionally contagious and transmitted between people via respiratory droplets. Its common symptoms for mild cases include shortness of breath, muscle pain, fever and sputum production, but it can cause pneumonia and multiorgan failure in more severe cases [5,6,7,8,9]. The death rate/number of diagnosed cases recorded in

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