Abstract
Operations research is applied to analysing uncertainties in the selection of nuclear reactor types. Dynamic programming methods have been extended to account for uncertain decision factors by including in the objective function a variance-related uncertainty factor as well as expected cost values. A technique is also described for obtaining total cost probability distributions. A case study is presented which uses the method to analyze a long-term planning problem for a given electric utility system. This problem is also solved by using fuzzy programming methods.
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