Abstract

- Balancing of variable renewable energy sources is one of the main problems of integrating renewable energy sources into the power electricity system. This paper performs a statistical analysis of the dependence of the error in the prediction of wind farm production in the region of southern Banat, on the forecasted power. The main contribution of the paper is the proposal of the methodology for the calculation of the required balance reserve in the electric power system of Serbia for day ahead for the existing condition of the installed wind power plants that are connected to the transmission network. All stakeholders have practical significance and benefit from the proposed methodology, the wind farm owner who can plan the necessary lease of balancing capacities, the transmission system operator who can plan uncertainties in wind farm production and the balancing responsible party that should plan balancing capacities.

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