Abstract
The international transport corridor is the basis and carrier of economic and trade exchanges between countries and regions. International transport corridors span different countries and regions, coupled with the long distance, complicated transportation environment and process, which determines the potential risks of the operation of the transport corridors. Therefore, accurately identifying and assessing the risk of international channels are an important prerequisite for ensuring its safe and stable operation. The expert scoring method is used to collect the basic data of risk identification, and the hesitant fuzzy decision theory is introduced. The dependent linguistic ordered weighted geometric (DLOWG) operator and the Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) method are used in combination. Taking the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) as an example, evaluate the operational risks of the international transport corridor. The research results show that corruption, terrorism, and policy stability are the top three risk factors in the operation of the China-Pakistan transport corridor. The risk management and control should focus on these three types of risks and strengthen the security management along the route. Strengthen policy docking and communication, maintain political stability, and strengthen antiterrorism cooperation.
Highlights
International transportation corridors are important carriers for international exchanges and trades [1], and their development and decline depend on the relationships between coun-E tries and levels of international economics and trades development [2]
International transport corridors span different countries and regions, coupled with the long distance, complicated transportation environment and process, which determines the potential risks of the operation of the transport corridors
The traditional Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) method has the defects of subjective judgment, inaccurate evaluation, and simple data processing. In view of this deficiency, we propose using dependent linguistic ordered weighted geometric (DLOWG) operator to
Summary
International transportation corridors are important carriers for international exchanges and trades [1], and their development and decline depend on the relationships between coun-. Accurately identifying and assessing the risk of and are responsible for public and specific transport missions international corridor are an important prerequisite for between countries or internationally [3]. Yun [7] analyses political, economic, and security risks it will build a modern integrated transportation corridor about CPEC based on macroscopic situations. Risk assessment for international corridors mainly focuses on political risk and transportation risk based on qualitative evaluation methods, and quantitative methods are rare. A used to identify the operational risk factors of the CPEC, in order to identify key risks by quantitative methods, and provide suggestions for international transport risk management in CPEC. International corridor operations must fully consider various risks and effectively carry out risk control and management in order to maximize the international corridor’s role in cross-border transportation. The operational risk of the international transport corridor is defined as follows: the corridor itself is damaged, or the internal and external environment is disturbed, resulting in the corridor not being able to pass normally, resulting in a comprehensive loss
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