Abstract

Conjunction assessment of space objects in Low Earth Orbit (LEO) generally uses information collected by ground-based space surveillance sensors. These sensors track both the primary object (normally an active satellite) and the secondary object (typically space debris). The tracking data is used to update both objects’ orbits for collision risk assessment. The primary satellite’s involvement in this process is that of a satellite in jeopardy - the primary satellite does not usually contribute tracking data on the secondary as they are typically unequipped to do so. In this paper, an examination how an at-risk LEO primary satellite could obtain optical tracking data on a secondary object prior to the Time of Closest Approach (TCA) and assess its own collision risk without the need for additional ground-based space surveillance data is performed. This analysis was made possible by using in-situ optical measurements of space objects conjuncting with the Canadian NEOSSat Space Situational Awareness R&D microsatellite. By taking advantage of the near “constant-bearing, decreasing range” observing geometry formed during a LEO conjunction, NEOSSat can collect astrometric and photometric measurements of the secondary object in the time prior to TCA, or in the multiple half-orbits preceding TCA. This paper begins by describing the in-situ phenomenology of optically observed conjunctions in terms of the observing approach, geometry and detected astrometric and photometric characteristics. It was found that conjuncting objects are detectable to magnitude 16 and astrometric observations can be used for position covariances in the computation of probability of collision. Illustrative examples are provided. In orbits prior to TCA, in-track positioning error is improved by a factor of two or more by processing space-based observations on a filtered position estimate of the secondary. However, cross-track positioning knowledge is negligibly improved due to the inherent astrometric measurement precision of the NEOSSat sensor and the oblique observing geometry during conjunction observations. A short analysis of object detectability where star trackers could be used to perform similar observations finds that larger payload-sized objects would generally be detectable. However, smaller debris objects would require higher sensitivity from the star tracker if employed for optical conjunction derisk observations.

Highlights

  • Satellite operators are continuing to manage the increasing number of conjunction warnings due to the growing number of debris objects in Earth orbit

  • Space-based optical measurements of orbiting objects conjuncting with a Low Earth Orbit (LEO) observer were characterized by exploiting the near constant bearing, decreasing range observing geometry possible from a space-based platform

  • It was found that a small Sun-synchronous space surveillance telescope can optically detect the rapid advance of space objects prior to Time of Closest Approach (TCA) if the secondary is Sun-illuminated and is elevated above Earth’s limb such that astrometry can be performed on the space surveillance imagery

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Summary

Introduction

Satellite operators are continuing to manage the increasing number of conjunction (close approach) warnings due to the growing number of debris objects in Earth orbit. The 18th SPCS offers Advanced Screening services [1, 2], providing conjunction warnings forecasted up to 7 days in advance of the Time of Closest Approach (TCA) providing operators increased time to analyze collision risk and create manuever plans. PoCs exceeding 10−4 triggers enhanced orbital analysis or debris avoidance maneuvers [2, 3] if the satellite has the capability to manuever This model of conjunction assessment works relatively well for the current population of space objects. In an era of upcoming mega-constellations, satellite operators may not be able to provide the individual attention required for each constellation asset for conjunction assessment This will likely force the use of automation and independent tracking data as a requirement for future space systems to help mitigate orbital collision risk. Given that debris avoidance in the final few minutes leading up to TCA is a challenging and likely impractical approach to collision mitigation, a better approach to secondary observation is described

A Half-Orbit Observing Strategy by Augmenting Pre-TCA Orbit State
Findings
Summary and Conclusion
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