Abstract

This paper develops a new health assessment method based on belief rule base with sliding time window considering correlation and redundancy of input information (BRB-WCR). The new proposed method aims to solve four problems in health assessment of dynamic complex system: lack of system fault data, uncertainty of expert knowledge, correlation of characteristic and high real-time requirement of system. The traditional BRB model can address the first two problems while it assumes that the input characteristics are completely independent. In order to solve the two remaining problems, a new BRB-WCR model is developed, where the correlation and redundancy of characteristics are considered and the sliding time window for online training data is introduced to improve the real time performance of the model. Moreover, to address the uncertainty of expert knowledge, a new optimization model is developed to train the parameters of the BRB-WCR model. To illustrate the effectiveness of the developed method, a case study of inertial navigation platform is conducted.

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