Abstract
The strong “super El Niño” of 2023 will weaken in the summer of 2024, but that will not undermine the high likelihood that the past 18 months will have anchored a new floor from which new warming will reemerge with what has been remarkable persistence for more than a decade. I write this correspondence as a case study in how to use ‘advances in scientific knowledge’ to preempt claims by personally-motivated deniers, sceptics and opinion-makers. I strong expect that these important players in forming public opinion will assert with faux authenticity that the coming of a La Niña later this fall will be strong evidence that recent monthly record temperatures will turn out to be anomalies in the record from what is otherwise a benign climate.
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