Abstract

The relationship between the United States and the Taliban since 1994 can be categorized into four stages, that is, friendly engagement, disputes and escalation of differences, head-on military confrontation, and fighting while negotiating. This paper briefly outlines the historical context of the relationship, expounds on the main factors that have shaped US–Taliban relations at different stages, and explores three major variables, namely, practical interests, religions and ideologies, and third-party factors. This paper argues that the 2020 peace agreement between the United States and the Taliban might open a new chapter in US–Taliban relations, but the withdrawal of US troops does not mean the US will leave Afghanistan entirely. Given the complicated situations on the ground, the peace agreement does not guarantee real peace in Afghanistan, either.

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