On the Jacobi Stability of Two SIR Epidemic Patterns with Demography

Abstract

In the present work, two SIR patterns with demography will be considered: the classical pattern and a modified pattern with a linear coefficient of the infection transmission. By reformulating of each first-order differential systems as a system with two second-order differential equations, we will examine the nonlinear dynamics of the system from the Jacobi stability perspective through the Kosambi–Cartan–Chern (KCC) geometric theory. The intrinsic geometric properties of the systems will be studied by determining the associated geometric objects, i.e., the zero-connection curvature tensor, the nonlinear connection, the Berwald connection, and the five KCC invariants: the external force εi—the first invariant; the deviation curvature tensor Pji—the second invariant; the torsion tensor Pjki—the third invariant; the Riemann–Christoffel curvature tensor Pjkli—the fourth invariant; the Douglas tensor Djkli—the fifth invariant. In order to obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the Jacobi stability near each equilibrium point, the deviation curvature tensor will be determined at each equilibrium point. Furthermore, we will compare the Jacobi stability with the classical linear stability, inclusive by diagrams related to the values of parameters of the system.